Transfer project / Mathematics

Climate signal ledger

Build a reproducible notebook that separates long-term change, short-term variation, sampling choices, and uncertainty in one public temperature record.

Candidate
0.1-foundations-candidate
Checkpoints
4 local records
Review
Independent review pending

Milestones

  1. 01

    Choose one bounded public series and preserve the original file plus its data dictionary.

  2. 02

    Plot raw observations before selecting a summary or smoothing method.

  3. 03

    Compare at least two defensible summaries and explain what each hides.

  4. 04

    Audit units, missing values, time windows, and measurement limitations.

Deliverables

  • A runnable notebook with a one-command or one-cell reproduction path.
  • A source ledger linking every external claim to a precise locator.
  • A short interpretation that separates observation, calculation, and inference.

Evidence requirements

  • Preserve one failed or misleading analysis and explain why it failed.
  • Include a transfer explanation for a reader who has not seen the lesson sequence.

Reproducibility checks

  • A clean run recreates every table and figure from the preserved input.
  • Reported summary values match machine-checked fixtures within stated tolerance.

No grade, ranking, certificate, or public submission. Checkpoints and notes stay in this browser. Recording a checkpoint asserts only that you created inspectable evidence; it does not certify its quality or human review.